Regional climate change projections for the ten regions of Victoria show what we can expect from our climate in the future.
The regional projections are based on information from 23 global climate models from different research groups around the world.
The reports project temperature and rainfall in each region for 2030 and 2070 under three different emissions scenarios:
They show, for example, that under a higher emissions growth scenario, by 2070 Melbourne's temperatures would resemble those of present-day Echuca, and annual rainfall would be similar to present-day Seymour.
The reports also outline the impacts we can expect on our water, farming and primary production, and biodiversity.
Victorian projections have been generated from the national climate change projections in Climate change in Australia, which is available at http://www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au.
Regional climate change projections for Victoria can be accessed from the links below. In addition, a state summary of these projections is also available.
Projections of future climate are a useful tool to consider the possible implications of climate change. While climate science and computer modelling have advanced significantly, no computer model can give a single or definite answer to what the future will look like. There are generally three sources of uncertainty:
Documents on this page are presented in PDF format. If you don’t have the Adobe Reader, download a free copy from the Adobe web site.Download the Adobe Reader