West Gippsland
By 2070 the region can expect to be:
- 1.4°C warmer with 6% less rain under a lower greenhouse gas emission growth scenario
- 2.6°C warmer with 11% less rain under a higher greenhouse gas emission growth scenario
Climate change in the West Gippsland region (PDF - 1.5 MB)
Regional Snapshot
- Hotter - greatest increases in temperature are expected in summer
- Drier - greatest decreases in rainfall are expected in spring
- Fewer rainy days but increasing rainfall intensity
- By 2070, runoff into the Thomson-Macalister and Latrobe Rivers is expected to decrease by between 5% and more than 50%.
By 2070, under a higher emissions growth scenario, Wonthaggi’s temperatures would resemble those of present day Seymour, while annual rainfall would be similar to Tooradin.
By 2070, seasonally the region can expect to be:
| LOWER EMISSIONS GROWTH |
HIGHER EMISSIONS GROWTH |
|
|---|---|---|
| SPRING | 1.4°C warmer 11% less rain |
2.7°C warmer 20% less rain |
| SUMMER | 1.5°C warmer 3% less rain |
3°C warmer 6% less rain |
| AUTUMN | 1.3°C warmer 3% less rain |
2.6°C warmer 5% less rain |
| WINTER | 1.1°C warmer 6% less rain |
2.2°C warmer 11% less rain |
Average number of days per year by 2070
| CURRENT | LOWER EMISSIONS GROWTH |
HIGHER EMISSIONS GROWTH |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| SALE | |||
| Frosts* | 34 | 18 | 10 |
| Over 30°C | 19 | 27 | 35 |
| Over 35°C | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| Over 40°C | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Rainy Days** | - 8% | - 16% | |
| Extreme daily rainfall intensity | + 4.96% | + 9.4% | |
| CURRENT | LOWER EMISSIONS GROWTH |
HIGHER EMISSIONS GROWTH |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| WONTHAGGI | |||
| Frosts* | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| Over 30°C | 17 | 23 | 31 |
| Over 35°C | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Over 40°C | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Rainy Days** | - 9% | - 18% | |
| Extreme daily rainfall intensity | + 1.4% | + 2.7% | |
* 2°C or less
** Greater than 5mm
